Casting the question in the context of current political factions is misunderstanding it. Political factions do enter into it, but they are secondary and usually not clear cut.
When the movement is wholly political it goes no where because the bulk of the population is not interested and doesn't see it as important enough to take a side. Half of the electorate is simply not very interested in which party wins - they turn out in force only when they are pissed off because one party has so badly bungled their handling of power, and even then 60% of voters voting is considered huge.
Something like the trucker convoy, there is no power on one side and all the power on the other. As soon as both sides are exercising power the non-political people tune it out because they cannot relate to it. That is why violent revolution will never succeed in what we used to call the first world - the bulk of people will not support it because life is pretty good on the whole and two sides fighting with each other is about as interesting as two children fighting. When one side has no power and sticks to their position in spite of state sponsored violence practiced against them - that gets the attention and support of the disinterested. Eventually the political creatures follow along because they realize they will not be re-elected if they come out on the side that is oppressing the powerless.
Start practicing revolutionary violence in response to state sponsored violence and you lose the support of the marginally interested and it becomes a question of who is better at practicing violence and the broader populace loses interest until it affects their own daily lives and then they side against whichever side it was affected their lives - right and wrong ceases to be part of it then.
If the truckers were to resort to violence, they would become a failed movement like Weather Underground or the Black Panthers, or the 1990's militias on the right.
I see the majority of your point. Apathy due to our still affluent existence keeps the mob from picking a side. In the context of right here / right now, you’re right.
FWIW Im not talking political parties. Im talking ideologies in the context of left/right. Everyone subscribes to an ideology whether they realize it or not. Granted it’s usually not binary but most people lean left until the chips are down.
You did list some conservative movements that failed and you articulated well the reasons why.
We’re approaching different times tho. People are losing freedoms & livelihoods in mass quantities. This aint the 60’s where it can be easily tuned out.
The 60’s leftist culture revolution made up 10% of the population. They make up over 30% today. That’s the “slow game” at work. I dont see the truckers gaining support right now. I see the technocrats & politicians wearing them down.
Leftism plays the slow game culture war. Conservatives dont - we cant. Victimhood and waiting for the sympathy support of the mob is anti conservative ideology.
For conservatives to win, things have to already be so bad at the point it gets violent that there was no middle ground left. I think you illustrate the conundrum that is the current middle ground well. We’re still a long ways from it forcing people to lose their schit.
But ultimately, conservatives make up ALL the industries that keep society going. Farming, linesmen, plumbers, truckers. These groups weild massive power - but for the reasons you listed they are too lazy to exercise it.
The biggest I hurdle I actually see is that the libs will be getting huge foreign financial contributions if a CW were to ever pop off. It’s why America lost the original CW.
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